Hyperparameter Optimization of Regression Model for Electrical Load Forecasting During the COVID-19 Pandemic Lockdown Period
Küçük Resim Yok
Tarih
2023
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
Intelligent Network and Systems Society
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Özet
Due to global lockdown policies implemented against COVID-19, there has been an impact on electricity consumption. Several countries have emphasized the significance of ensuring electricity supply security during the pandemic to maintain the livelihood of people. Accurate forecasting of electricity demand plays a crucial role in ensuring energy security across all nations; accordingly to achieve this objective, this study employs metaheuristics optimization algorithms to enhance the prediction model's operation, such as Support Vector Machine (SVM), KNearest Neighbors (KNN), and Random Forest (RF), at an optimized level to minimize errors. Two metaheuristics optimization methods, Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and Genetic Algorithms (GA), are utilized. The suggested prediction models are trained using daily power usage data from three US urban regions. In terms of prediction accuracy, the findings show that KNN with PSO surpasses the other models. The COVID-19 pandemic reduced power usage by 20% relative to pre-pandemic levels. © 2023, International Journal of Intelligent Engineering and Systems. All Rights Reserved.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
COVID-19; Genetic algorithms; Metaheuristics optimization algorithms; Particle swarm optimization; Support vector machine
Kaynak
International Journal of Intelligent Engineering and Systems
WoS Q Değeri
Scopus Q Değeri
Q3
Cilt
16
Sayı
4
